Lawrence High School

Algebra 1 - Probability

Mr. Kramer

Algebra 1 - Probability

Mr. Kramer

The 50-50-90 rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there’s a 90% probability you’ll get it wrong.

- Andy Rooney

Task Definition: Use what you know about simple probability to analyze your chances of hitting it big on the lottery.

CCSS.Math.Content.HSS-MD.B.5 (+) Weigh the possible outcomes of a decision by assigning probabilities to payoff values and finding

expected values.

CCSS.Math.Content.HSS-MD.B.5a Find the expected payoff for a game of chance.

Resources Needed:

1. Computer with internet access.

2. Microsoft office suite or equivalent software package.

3. Printer

4. Scanner

5. PDF reader

6. Pack of playing cards

7. 2-3 dice

8. A coin

Lessons:

Why learn about probability? Watch this video from the BBC.

Read this document from the BBC about probability.

Read this document also from the BBC about probability.

Read this document and this document from the BBC on the probability scale.

Let’s get started on working out probability. Read this document from the BBC on rolling dice.

Now let’s do an investigation with flipping a coin. Are your results similar or different? Why? What might have caused any differences?

Try this worksheet out. Check your answers when you finish.

Watch this

Check this

Here is a

Homework 1: Submit your answers to this worksheet.

Homework 2: Submit your answers to this worksheet.

Go to this

Go to this

Need more help with independent events? Check out this

Homework 3: Submit your answers to this worksheet.

Homework 4: Submit your answers to this worksheet.

Watch this

Finally we are ready for your chapter project. I want you to research 3 different types of lottery systems (Lotto, Powerball, Pick3, etc.). You will need to figure out what the probability of winning those lotteries are. I want you to prepare a PowerPoint presentation or Prezi on your research telling me which lottery is the one I should play to get rich. You must include the math behind your findings and reasons why I should or should not choose each type of lottery to play. I also want to know what my possible winning amount might be.

- Andy Rooney

Task Definition: Use what you know about simple probability to analyze your chances of hitting it big on the lottery.

CCSS.Math.Content.HSS-MD.B.5 (+) Weigh the possible outcomes of a decision by assigning probabilities to payoff values and finding

expected values.

CCSS.Math.Content.HSS-MD.B.5a Find the expected payoff for a game of chance.

*For example, find the expected winnings from a*

state lottery ticket or a game at a fast-food restaurant.state lottery ticket or a game at a fast-food restaurant.

Resources Needed:

1. Computer with internet access.

2. Microsoft office suite or equivalent software package.

3. Printer

4. Scanner

5. PDF reader

6. Pack of playing cards

7. 2-3 dice

8. A coin

Lessons:

Why learn about probability? Watch this video from the BBC.

Read this document from the BBC about probability.

Read this document also from the BBC about probability.

Read this document and this document from the BBC on the probability scale.

Let’s get started on working out probability. Read this document from the BBC on rolling dice.

Now let’s do an investigation with flipping a coin. Are your results similar or different? Why? What might have caused any differences?

Try this worksheet out. Check your answers when you finish.

Watch this

__video__on simple probability of flipping a coin and rolling a die. Here is another good__video__on simple probability.**PROBABILITY FUN ALERT!!**Check this

__video__on probability out. He talks kind of fast so beware.Here is a

__song__on probability.**Ok fun is over, back to it.**Homework 1: Submit your answers to this worksheet.

Homework 2: Submit your answers to this worksheet.

Go to this

__website__and read about exclusive events. Make sure to try the problems at the bottom to get some practice.Go to this

__website__and read about independent events. Make sure to try the problems at the bottom to get some practice.Need more help with independent events? Check out this

__video__.Homework 3: Submit your answers to this worksheet.

Homework 4: Submit your answers to this worksheet.

Watch this

__video__on the Fundamental Counting Principle. You will need it for your chapter project.Finally we are ready for your chapter project. I want you to research 3 different types of lottery systems (Lotto, Powerball, Pick3, etc.). You will need to figure out what the probability of winning those lotteries are. I want you to prepare a PowerPoint presentation or Prezi on your research telling me which lottery is the one I should play to get rich. You must include the math behind your findings and reasons why I should or should not choose each type of lottery to play. I also want to know what my possible winning amount might be.